|
|
|
|
GLOBAL
RELEASE OF ROUND 4 RESULTS
|
|
| In
conjunction with Africa Day on May 25, the
Afrobarometer is pleased to announce the release
of results from our fourth round of surveys,
conducted in 19 countries during 2008. The
release also marks the 10th anniversary of
the launching of the Afrobarometer. Our first
respondent was interviewed in Ghana in July
1999, and we have now completed over 105,000
interviews in 20 countries.
This
wealth of data allows us to explore critical
trends on the continent with respect to
democracy and regime consolidation, poverty
reduction, globalization and cosmopolitanism,
and the emergence of democratic citizens.
The Briefing Papers linked below highlight
each of these themes in turn. The Compendium
of Round 4 Results presents additional data
on many of the core items included in the
Round 4 survey on topics such as local and
central government performance, leadership
evaluations, perceptions and experience
of corruption, institutional trust, and
a host of other topics.
Key findings
include:
|
|
|
ON DEMOCRACY...
The 20 African
countries included in the Afrobarometer
include many of the most politically liberal
countries on the continent, including 7
countries ranked by Freedom House in 2008
as "Free." However, when we assess
the quality of these regimes based on popular
attitudes and perceptions, we do not find
any consolidated democracies among them
(although Botswana comes close). In fact,
we find some consolidating as autocracies,
but most countries are best understood as
unconsolidated, hybrid regimes. They exhibit
some key elements of democracy, such as
regular elections and protection of core
individual freedoms. But either the popular
demand for democracy, or the perceived supply
of democracy, or, in most cases, both, fall
short of the standards of full democracy.
But the trajectories of individual countries
are extremely diverse, with some exhibiting
sharp declines away from democratic consolidation,
while others are steadily advancing.
|
|
Briefing Paper No.67
"Neither Consolidating Nor Fully Democratic:
The Evolution of African Political Regimes,
1999-2008" (288 kb) Download
|
| |
|
ON
POVERTY...
Even with the significant
growth that sub-Saharan Africa has experienced
over the past decade, as of 2008 lived poverty
(or the extent to which people regularly go
without basic necessities) is still extensive.
It has declined in nine of the Afrobarometer
countries for which we have over-time data
during this period, but it has increased in
another six. Cross-national differences in
economic growth help explain differing country
trajectories in lived poverty. But a more
complete picture must also take political
freedom into consideration. Lived poverty
is strongly related to country-level measures
of political freedom, and changes in poverty
are related to changes in freedom. This finding
supports Sen's (1999) argument about the crucial
importance of freedom for development. Using
our alternative measures of both development
and democracy, we corroborate the findings
of others that there is a "democracy
advantage" for well being and prosperity. |
| Briefing
Paper No.68 "Poverty Reduction, Economic
Growth and Democratization in Sub-Saharan
Africa" (282 kb) Download. |
| |
| ON
GLOBALIZATION AND COSMOPOLITANISM… |
|
| Briefing
Paper No. 69 "Citizens of the World?
Africans, Media and Telecommunications" (75.6kb) Download |
|
| |
|
| ON
DEMOCRATIC CITIZENSHIP... |
|
| Briefing
Paper No.70 "Are Democratic Citizens
Emerging in Africa" (213 kb) Download. |
|
| |
|
| AS
WELL AS MANY OTHER FINDINGS… |
|
|
Working Paper No.108 "The Quality
of Democracy and Governance in Africa: New
Results from Afrobarometer Round 4"
(877kb)
Download.
|
|
| |
|
|
SELECTED PRESS COVERAGE
|
|
|
|
|
| |
|
| AFROBAROMETER'S
MOST RECENT PUBLICATIONS |
ANNOUNCEMENTS
& EVENTS |
|
| WORKING
PAPERS |
| No.108 |
Logan, Carolyn and Eric Little. "The Quality of Democracy and Governance in Africa: New Results from Afrobarometer Round 4" (877kb) Download. |
| No.107 |
Dunning,
Thad and Lauren Harrison. "Cross-Cutting
Cleavages and Ethnic Voting: An Experimental
Study of Cousinage in Mali" 2009.
(397 kb) Download |
|
No.106
|
Young, Daniel J." Is Clientelism
at Work in African Elections? A Study
of Voting Behavior in Kenya and Zambia"
2009. (663 kb) Download
|
|
No.105
|
Bratton, Michael and Peter Lolojih.
"Rationality, Cosmopolitanism,
and Adjustment Fatigue: Public Attitudes
to Economic Reform in Zambia"
2009. (1031kb) Download
|
|
No.104
|
Bratton,
Michael. “Do Free Elections
Foster Capable Governments? The Democracy-Governance
Connection in Africa.” 2008.
(683kb) Download
|
|
No.103
|
Kimenyi, Mwangi S. and
Roxana Gutierrez Romero. “Tribalism
as a Minimax-Regret Strategy: Evidence
from Voting in the 2007 Kenyan Elections.”
2008. (642kb)
Download
|
|
No.102
|
Lavallée, Emmanuelle, Mireille
Razafindrakoto and François
Roubaud. “Corruption and Trust
in Political Institutions in sub-Saharan
Africa.” 2008.(699kb)
Download
|
|
No.101
|
Koussihouèdé,
Oswald and Damase Sossou. “Frustration
Relative de Démocratie en Afrique.”
2008. (711kb)
Download
|
|
No.100
|
Nunn, Nathan and Leonard
Wantchekon. “The Trans-Atlantic
Slave Trade and the Evolution of Mistrust
in Africa: An Empirical Investigation.”
2008.
(2788kb)
Download
|
|
No.99
|
Bratton, Michael.
“Vote Buying and Violence in
Nigerian Election Campaigns.”
2008 Download
|
|
No.98
|
Mattes, Robert. “The
Material and Political Bases of Lived
Poverty in Africa: Insights from the
Afrobarometer.” 2008. (603kb)
Download
|
|
BRIEFING
PAPERS
|
| No.70 |
"Are Democratic Citizens Emerging in Africa" (213 kb) Download. |
| No.69 |
"Citizens of the World? Africans, Media and Telecommunications" (75.6kb) Download |
| No.68 |
"Poverty Reduction, Economic Growth and Democratization in Sub-Saharan Africa" (282 kb) Download. |
| No.67 |
"Neither Consolidating Nor Fully Democratic: The Evolution of African Political Regimes, 1999-2008" (288 kb) Download |
| No.66 |
Popular
Views on Crime in Tanzania (111 kb)
Download |
| No.65 |
Perception
de la situation économique et
des performances du Gouvernement: Premiers
résultats de l'enquête
" Afrobaromètre 2008 "
à Madagascar (158 kb) Download (English) |
| No.64 |
Les
Malgaches et la démocratie :
principes, fonctionnement, participation
(476 kb) Download (English) |
| No.63 |
La
gouvernance à Madagascar :Portée
et limites de la lutte contre la corruption
et du processus de décentralisation
(271 kb)
Download (English) |
|
No. 62
|
Perspectives on Economic Management
in Botswana: Jobs and Widespread Wealth
Elude Even a Well Managed Economy (110
kb)
Download |
| PRESS
RELEASES |
| Coming
soon. |
|
| Release
of Round 4 Data |
|
Round 4 data sets are released approximately
one year after the completion of fieldwork
in each country. So far, we have released
the following:
Ghana
Download Round
4 Data Now!
Nigeria
Download Round 4 Data Now! |
|
Completion
of Round 4 Surveys
|
|
Round 4 surveys began
in March 2008 and were completed in
19 countries by December 2008. Watch
the website for release of results
and bulletins (results
by country), and data. A Round
4 survey may be conducted in Zimbabwe
early 2009 based on the prevailing
conditions. The following includes
selected coverage of the release of
results in various countries.
Uganda
10 Failures of Opposition: Why a limping Museveni remains solid against toothless opposition, The Independent, May 26, 2009. (184 kb) Download
Africa
AFRICA:
Keen on Democracy, Despite Mixed Results
- Azhar, Inter Press Service News
Agency November 20, 2008. (100kb)
Download
Burkina
Faso
Qualité
de la démocratie et de la gouvernance
au Burkina: Afrobaromètre a
mené l’enquêt -
Faso Presso, mardi 20 janvier 2009.
(104kb) Download
Cape Verde
Cape
Verde increasingly believe in the
consolidation of democracy - Panapress,
October 9, 2008. (99kb) Download
Madagascar
Popularité
Ravalomanana perd la cote chez les
diplômés - Tribune Madagascar.com,
lundi 3 novembre 2008. (55kb)
Download
Uganda
Poverty
worries Ugandans - The New Vision, March
11, 2009. (70kb). Download |
|
Online Data
Analysis Launch
|
|
You can now analyze
AB results interactively without having
to download data or acquire statistical
software. Try the new AB
Online Data Analysis facility.
This tool will allow you to select
a sample or samples, browse the question
index, analyze marginals and cross-tabulations,
and produce graphics.
|
|
The
Micro-Foundations of Mass Politics
in Africa Conference 12-13 May, 2007
|
|
To
date, scholars of African politics
have concentrated principally on the
deeds, and misdeeds, of political
elites. Studies of mass participation
have been largely limited to local
cases and have been hampered by the
lack of systematic data on public
values, attitudes and behavior. The
advent of the Afrobarometer, now comprising
three rounds of national probability
sample surveys in up to 18 African
countries, 1999-2006, offers unique
opportunities to delve into the
micro-foundations of mass politics
on the sub-Saharan sub-continent.
Accordingly,
on behalf of the Afrobarometer Network,
Michigan State University is pleased
to have hosted a conference on this
subject in East Lansing, Michigan
on May 12-13, 2007. Conference
information
|
|
AWARDS
|
| The
Afrobarometer won the 2004 Data Set
Award of the American Political Science
Association's Comparative Politics Section |
|
E-MAIL
LIST
|
|
Add your name to the Afrobarometer
E-Mailing List to receive notification
about new publications.
|
|
|
|
| |
